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Old 03-22-2016, 12:21 AM
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Default The next recession?

Recessions are always a when not an if, so what's your thought on when the next one is coming?
My guess is around 2018 we should be slightly turning down, at least on the east coast and the west coast to follow, but this is just a guess from lectures I have been to, it seems most other economists are saying around 2018, but I want to hear from other real people their gut feeling.
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Old 03-22-2016, 12:54 AM
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I actually thought it would be this year, but now I'm setting up for 2017.
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Old 03-22-2016, 01:19 AM
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It is coming soon
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Old 03-22-2016, 06:14 AM
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housing shortage, strict and conservative lending, elections
Late 2017 early 2018 we will see a downturn but not catastrophic as 2008
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Old 03-22-2016, 02:38 PM
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I don't see anything overheated to cause one. Heck people are still using the word "recovery" to describe our current status, thinking that there's some expectation to return to 6% growth every year. I don't see that legitimately happening at all. I'd say this is the new normal. Slow, sluggish growth with no engine to go faster. America's new place in the global economy.
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Old 03-22-2016, 04:53 PM
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...we would have dramatic growth if we could get the government out of the the Auto, Power, Medical and Aeronautic...I'm just sayin'
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Old 03-22-2016, 05:17 PM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Disturbed View Post
...we would have dramatic growth if we could get the government out of the the Auto, Power, Medical and Aeronautic...I'm just sayin'

Along with just about every other industry out there. Over regulation is what is killing us and it's only getting worse and worse.
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Old 03-22-2016, 05:46 PM
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To put another way, America, and I'll include the American worker is not globally competitive....Speaking as an employer, and I'm just sayin....

I don't see the government as that much of a hindrance, we do need lower taxes, but as far as regulations, we're gonna have more than a third world developing country, and we should, or would you like skies, and water like China?

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Old 03-22-2016, 07:28 PM
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I think we are moving into a more protectionist state with all the bad guys sacking Europe right now with plans to continue their opportunities here. China is continuing to invest heavily in businesses and real estate here because they know we are moving in that direction of locking the door. Whether we get Trump or Hillary, we are going to continue on that path. We have less and less influence on the global economy that requires us to be present outside of our borders. China's economy has been getting kicked in the nads for a year and our economy has continued slowly stabilizing. I think we are going to see more growth for awhile and don't see the next recession for quite a few years yet.
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Old 03-22-2016, 08:03 PM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Rayman View Post
To put another way, America, and I'll include the American worker is not globally competitive....Speaking as an employer, and I'm just sayin....

I don't see the government as that much of a hindrance, we do need lower taxes, but as far as regulations, we're gonna have more than a third world developing country, and we should, or would you like skies, and water like China?
I know of someone who wants to change all that and make America great again. :-)
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